fxmatters

Both the EUR and AUD made new recent highs against the USD last week, but neither lasted long. With inflation now running higher in Australia, the actions of the RBA will be pivotal in the next few weeks for the NZD as well … Read AUD holds the key

Intervention is coming thick and fast now in the global money markets. It appears only a matter of time beyond intervention in currency markets also occurs … Read After the US rate cut

We have come through a time of woeful global financial stories and depressing local news, and yet the NZ dollar holds up. We are left looking for the trigger that will set off the next NZ dollar plunge … Read Looking for a surprise

The starting point for most financial market forecasting is to understand what anticipations are built into current rates and prices. Expectations centre on a slightly lower NZD/USD, a USD rebound against the EUR, and a stable AUD/EUR. The next step is to work out where this anticipation will prove wrong … Read Where people expect too much